The CIA World Factbook last year showed the first time since data was recorded that the world economy went down from the year before. It was the worst year in economic modern world history. And yet what did it amount to? The negative growth dropped us back down to the incomes we had in 2007. But even this isn't exactly accurate. Because between 2007 and 2009, the world gained access to new art and science which added to our total wealth. No matter what art you might prefer -- whether its music, movies, video games, anime, tv shows, or sports matches, more came out and is now available in the vast internet database. Furthermore, neat gadgets like the iphone came out -- intel released a new chip series with higher performance, so on and so forth. There isn't a single year things aren't improving. If 2009 was the worst year in recorded history, and our total well being still increased since 2007, what exactly are people whining about? Why can't they just accept that the world isn't perfect and be grateful for what we already have?
People have so much today they didn't have before. Rule of law, plentiful food, clean air and water, the right to a fair trial, peace, computers, internet, air conditioning, sewage, antibiotics, low infant mortality rates, cars, airplanes, you get the idea. There are practically no limitations on speech or religion, when before people were killed over the slightest deviation from the powers that be. Taxes are so low that individuals can accumulate billions of dollars of personal wealth -- anyone productive can quickly become a millionaire and buy virtually anything imaginable with their after-tax income. And yet semi-rich people continue to complain about 'crippling' tax rates as though there's some sort of confiscatory Holodomor in action. Crime in America has sunk to levels last found in the 1960's, and yet websites continue to post horror stories of this crime or that crime and pretend it's the L.A. riots all across America. Energy is cheaper than ever, but websites are claiming we have reached 'peak oil' and it's the end of the modern world. Just recently America invented a type of horizontal drilling that has opened up a source of natural gas vast enough to supply the next 40 years of our consumption. Does this hit the headlines? No. Instead we hear for months running about a single well leaking oil into the ocean, an event that is utterly inconsequential to the overall environment or energy supply. In the last decade heart attacks have decreased by 60%. 60%! In just ten years. What will have improved by 2020? I can tell you ahead of time, 3d television, movies, and games. It will be just as cool as the HD flat screens were better than the standard definition cathode ray tubes upgrade. I can also tell you that most of the world, at least, will start pumping internet data by the hundreds of megabytes, to gigabytes, a second, instead of the dial-up connections or 1 megabyte per second connections of today. There will also be a cure to AIDS to the point that no one in the modern world dies from it anymore.
Libertarians say the world could be even better if only we had less taxes and regulation. So what? The world is good enough, economically, just the way it is. Maybe they could complain if they lived in some shitty African state with a per capita income less than $1,000. But who cares whether you earn $40,000 or $30,000? Who's going to fight a revolutionary war for the sake of a 2nd car or a pool in the backyard? A chicken in every pot works a lot better for hungry people than a goose in every pot works on the already obese. Or do libertarians want the right to take drugs? Most people don't need that freedom because they either A) don't want to take drugs or B) are sufficiently discreet about it that they don't imagine they'll ever be caught taking drugs as the law already stands. The same is true for getting rid of obscure hate speech restrictions. Just word your speech more carefully and avoid the charges, or say it in private. It isn't Soviet Russia where spies are being hired to eavesdrop on your conversations and any criticism of anything results in a torturous death for you and your family. The persecution complex gets old. "Woe is me, just look at affirmative action!" First off, the only people affected by affirmative action are a narrow region of whites who are at the very bottom in qualifying and are displaced by the very top blacks. Second, it's still possible for anyone in America to get a college degree if they have the intelligence to do so, get a job, and become rich. Affirmative action has not stopped anyone with the intelligence and perseverance to get through the system from succeeding. Maybe it's a bit harder for some people. Suck it up. The vast majority of whites are filthy rich anyway, even compared to just a generation ago. It isn't affirmative action holding one back, it's some individual weakness.
The same is true for marriage and children. Around 75% of college graduate women have children. These women are the least likely to divorce or have illegitimate children. This means that around 75% of college graduate men can marry and have children with a high quality, reliable woman. 90% of people still marry at some point in their lives. Therefore, if society is structured in some way or other that favors divorce, illegitimacy, childlessness, adultery, break-ups, etc -- it still is such a slight influence that the vast majority of people can overcome it. Relationship problems are not to the point that it is impossible for an individual to overcome through their own effort. Therefore, if one can't overcome one's problems, that's one's own fault. Not society's. If one truly cared about achieving a stable marriage with children, one would put in the effort to belong to one of those 75% and achieve said dream. It's entirely up to the individual whether he succeeds or fails.
Even if the law could be improved in myriad ways, it's already good enough to give everyone all the freedom, wealth, and reproductive opportunities they need. Not only that, but the world is improving every single day. The environment, far from getting more polluted, is gaining all sorts of new allies from electric cars to solar panels. Genetic engineering will reverse dysgenics. AI will replace manual labor. There's less violent conflict across the world practically every year. There's less crime wherever people want to prevent it, now that we have Giuliani's crime fighting model. Space X launched a rocket at half the price of their competitors. What is there to fear? There are a thousand ways to solve global warming, including sucking CO2 right out of the air, whenever it becomes seriously deleterious to our well-being. There will still be hundreds of millions of bright and beautiful whites as well as east asians no matter how low our fertility rates drop into the foreseeable future, and they will still have all the power and wealth they could desire even if they become minorities, because that's how whites in Mexico and Chinese in Indonesia already live.
So fine, let's continue to whine about injustices. There's always more injustice and suffering in the world. From the crooked timber of humanity, nothing ever did run smooth. But none of these amount to crisis or existential threats. None of them justify large scale disruptions of people's lives. None of them oppose the fact that the world is improving daily in every field and this is the best era in human history. Therefore, none of them merit extremist or violent rhetoric as a response. We can say, 'it sure is a shame that affirmative action puts people in jobs they can't perform,' but we can't say 'proponents of affirmative action are diseased and evil and should be cleansed from the face of the Earth.' The difference between the two is that one admits humans have value, and the other believes that only correct beliefs hold value. The reason Catholics slaughtered hundreds of thousands of Protestants in the past was they valued people insofar as they held correct beliefs. They didn't care if the Protestants loved their family, if they worked hard, if they admired sunrises, if they made someone laugh, if they solved math equations, or if they fed birds. "They didn't say Mass in latin so they had to be burned at the stake. They brought it upon themselves, the bastards didn't admit Christ had literally transformed into communion bread right before they ate it, which should be obvious to anyone is true."
Libertarians, racialists, environmentalists, whoever is pretending their beliefs are all-important and must conquer the entire world and destroy all opposition because it's a matter of 'life or death,' 'good or evil,' and therefore uncompromisable, are no different from the religious murderers of the past. In truth, we can afford to lose all these arguments, and the world will go on. We can afford the worst case scenarios of all of them together, and the future will still be bright. What we can't afford is for humans to hurt other humans over phantom fears and meme-imperialist egoism. With the capability humans have developed in terms of bio and nuclear weapons, hate is the one thing we can no longer risk.
2 comments:
Hmmm...
It seems you're discounting those who warn about the future and the consequences of some kinds of immigration. They would state that what just happened - the financial drop - is the beginning of a downtrend, a reversal in the continuance of civilization and technological advance.
I find it hard to believe as well but I'm not discounting it based on having more media to access or hoping AI or genetic engineering will finally make those kinds of breakthroughs. I've been reading those kinds of predictions for 20 years.
Media access can change. High levels of wealth accumulation can change. Innovation can be stymied.
The Romans would probably have had AI by 1000AD or earlier if their civilization didn't collapse.
I agree there are a lot of extremists who propose nonsense in the face of increasing wealth and technological advance. And as a techno-optimist I have a hard time arguing too strongly against the fact that on many levels there are advances.
Yet there is something a bit too glib about your post.
It's like saying if you only focus on the good things you'll see everything is okay.
Tell that to the Romans or any other civilization that went into millenia-long decline.
I think it's better to be aware that things might not look at all so rosy a decade from now, even worse a hundred years down the road, and all those extra movies aren't going to be worth anything.
Also, injustices may matter more than you think in terms of continuing with advances. Most spiritual systems of the world consider the moral sensitivity and choices one makes to matter, and not always in the afterlife. In many traditions the War on Heaven is what is what is transpiring on Earth. Injustices and moral choices matter.
It all comes down to whether a serious decline is starting or not.
I don't know the answer and don't believe it is, but it's better to be prepared.
Also, you sort of waver a bit here. You've said yourself there are larger issues than just technology. Why side so much with the bots all of a sudden?
I think it would be different if someone were arguing for law changes that would protect the unfortunate, the poor, the uneducated, children, etc. But that's only true of socialists. Libertarians clearly state they're only in it for themselves and they want to liquidate the poor and unfortunate for the sake of lower taxes and less government spending, even though they are already the richest and freest people on Earth. It is these people who say they need the law to change even though the current system gives them ample opportunity to become rich, marry, and have kids.
Spoiled whiners = libertarians. They have everything but they still want more, no one has ever hurt them but they pretend they're being oppressed and need new laws to protect them.
For civilization to collapse, we would have to be unable to maintain the technology we already have. This is hard to believe considering how widespread education has become. IQ and the Wealth of Nations said any society with an average IQ of 90+ could maintain a technological civilization. The USA stands at 98 right now. That's a lot of buffer room.
It's an interesting idea to think defacing what is pure and good about our communities is sufficient damage in and of itself. For instance, Germany's constant demonization of Germans in their classroom and media must have a spiritually devastating effect on everyone who lives there. That could be one explanation for why they consistently have the lowest fertility rate in Europe -- they've been convinced that their entire country is inherently evil and needs to disappear.
The soul-debasing effects of communism also seem to be more harmful than the lowered economic opportunity. The Soviet Union had a reasonable GDP compared to say, the third world. Even so, its people were rapidly dying off, getting drunk, taking drugs, and hated their lives. Their brutality towards the Afghans and later the Chechens has to be a reflection of their moral sensitivity having been worn away under the rough sandpaper of communism. They don't know how to care, about anyone or anything, anymore.
But I don't think liberalism can spiritually cripple a nation. After all, it doesn't stop the free expression of alternate religions (like communism did), it doesn't stop free speech, (like communism did), it offers people fair trials, (unlike communism), it isn't corrupt (unlike communism), and it genuinely cares about others (unlike communists who liquidated millions).
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